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National Hurricane Center: Above average 2024 hurricane season

National Hurricane Center: Above average 2024 hurricane season

  • PublishedMay 23, 2024

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center issued their 2024 Atlantic hurricane season outlook on Thursday. The forecast expects an above average hurricane season with the numbers being the highest ever they have issued for their pre-season May outlook.

Named Storms: 17-25 (AVERAGE 14)

Hurricanes:  8-14 (AVERAGE 7 )

Major Hurricanes: 4-7 (AVERAGE 3)

The justification for this above average seasonal outlook includes the formation of the La Nina which is conducive for tropical systems to form due to warming sea surface temperatures and reduced vertical wind shear in the main formation region in the tropics.  Furthermore, above average, record-breaking sea surface temperatures are already being seen across the Atlantic in May. This trend is expected to continue through the summer and thus, adding fuel for tropical system formation. 

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